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Annual Report 2004

Financial Review - Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk


QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK

INVESTMENTS
We maintain an investment portfolio of various holdings, types, and maturities. See Note 7 to the Consolidated Financial Statements. These securities are generally classified as available-for-sale and consequently are recorded in the Consolidated Balance Sheets at fair value with unrealized gains or losses reported as a separate component of accumulated other comprehensive income, net of tax.

Fixed Income Securities
At any time, a sharp rise in interest rates could have a material adverse impact on the fair value of our investment portfolio. Conversely, declines in interest rates could have a material impact on interest earnings for our investment portfolio. We do not currently hedge these interest rate exposures. These instruments are not leveraged as of July 31, 2004, and are held for purposes other than trading. The modeling technique used measures the change in fair value arising from selected potential changes in interest rates. Market changes reflect immediate hypothetical parallel shifts in the yield curve of plus or minus 50 basis points ("BPS"), 100 BPS, and 150 BPS. The following tables present the hypothetical changes in fair value in investment securities held at July 31, 2004 and July 26, 2003 that are sensitive to changes in interest rates (in millions):





Publicly Traded Equity Securities
The values of our equity investments in several publicly traded companies are subject to market price volatility. The following tables present the hypothetical changes in fair value of publicly traded equity securities held at July 31, 2004 and July 26, 2003 that are sensitive to changes in market price (in millions):





Our equity portfolio consists of securities with characteristics that most closely match the Standard & Poor's 500 Index or Nasdaq Composite Index. These equity securities are held for purposes other than trading. The modeling technique used measures the change in fair values arising from selected hypothetical changes in each stock's price. Stock price fluctuations of plus or minus 25%, 50%, and 75% were selected based on the probability of their occurrence. During fiscal 2003 and 2002, we recognized charges of $412 million and $858 million, respectively, attributable to the impairment of certain publicly traded equity securities. The impairment charges were related to the declines in the fair values of certain publicly traded equity securities below their cost basis that were judged to be other-than-temporary. There was no impairment charge recorded in fiscal 2004.

INVESTMENTS IN PRIVATELY HELD COMPANIES
We have invested in privately held companies, some of which are in the startup or development stages. These investments are inherently risky, as the markets for the technologies or products these companies are developing are typically in the early stages and may never materialize. We could lose our entire initial investment in these companies. These investments are primarily carried at cost, which as of July 31, 2004 was $354 million, compared with $516 million at July 26, 2003, and are recorded in other assets in the Consolidated Balance Sheets. Our impairment charges on investments in privately held companies were $112 million, $281 million, and $420 million during fiscal 2004, 2003, and 2002, respectively.

Our evaluation of equity investments in private and public companies is based on the fundamentals of the businesses, including, among other factors, the nature of their technologies and potential for financial return to us.

DERIVATIVE INSTRUMENTS
We enter into foreign exchange forward contracts to minimize the short-term impact of foreign currency fluctuations on receivables, investments, and payables, primarily denominated in Australian, Canadian, Japanese, and several European currencies, including the euro and British pound. Our market risks associated with our foreign currency receivables, investments, and payables relate primarily to variances from our forecasted foreign currency transactions and balances.

Approximately 75% of our operating expenses are U.S.-dollar denominated. In order to reduce variability in operating expenses caused by the remaining non-U.S.-dollar-denominated operating expenses, we periodically hedge certain foreign currency forecasted transactions with currency options with maturities up to 18 months. These hedging programs are not designed to provide foreign currency protection over longer time horizons. In designing a specific hedging approach, we consider several factors, including offsetting exposures, significance of exposures, costs associated with entering into a particular hedge instrument, and potential effectiveness of the hedge. The gains and losses on foreign exchange contracts mitigate the variability in operating expenses associated with currency movements. Due primarily to our limited currency exposure to date, the impact of foreign currency fluctuations has not been material to our Consolidated Financial Statements. In fiscal 2004, the effects of foreign currency fluctuations, net of hedging, increased total research and development, sales and marketing, and general and administrative expenses by approximately 2.5%, compared with fiscal 2003 and by approximately 1% in fiscal 2003, compared with fiscal 2002. The impact of foreign currency fluctuations on sales has not been material because our sales are primarily denominated in U.S. dollars.

Foreign exchange forward and option contracts as of July 31, 2004 are summarized as follows (in millions):



Our foreign exchange forward contracts related to current assets and liabilities generally range from one to three months in original maturity. Additionally, we have entered into foreign exchange forward contracts related to long-term financings with maturities of up to two years. The foreign exchange forward contracts related to investments generally have maturities of less than one year. Currency option contracts generally have maturities of less than 18 months. We do not enter into foreign exchange forward and option contracts for trading purposes. We do not expect gains or losses on these derivative instruments to have a material impact on our financial results. See Note 8 to the Consolidated Financial Statements.

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