• BROADBAND CONSUMERS: Installed base of broadband-enabled consumers will reach 35 million by 2005. (Cyberatlas / Forward Concepts , May 2000).
• BROADBAND DEMAND: 55% of Americans said they would subscribe to broadband services once they became available. (Forrester, 2000).
• BROADBAND DEPLOYMENT, ASIA 2004: There will be a total 20 million DSL subscribers and approximately 14 million cable modem subscribers in Asia by 2004. (Dataquest, Feb. 2001).
• BROADBAND DEPLOYMENT, DSL 2004: Total number of surfers accessing the Web via DSL reached 4.5 million in 2000, an increase of 447% from 1999, with 66.4 million expected by 2004. (IDC, Feb. 2001).
• BROADBAND DEPLOYMENT, EUROPE: 18 million cable modem and digital subscriber line (DSL) subscribers by 2003 in Europe, with penetration rising from 1.79% to 21% by 2003. (Van Dusseldorp & Partners, 2001).
• BROADBAND DEPLOYMENT, EUROPE: 18% of European households will subscribe to broadband Internet access by 2005. (Forrester, Lars Godell, July 2000).
• BROADBAND DEPLOYMENT, UK: About 30% of British households will use high-speed Internet connections by 2005, despite delays in getting remote areas wired with broadband connections. (UK Government, Feb. 2001).
• BROADBAND DEPLOYMENT, US WORKPLACE: Broadband users at work in the US are set to more than double to 55 million by 2005, up from 24 million in 2000. (Jupiter Communications., Jan. 2001
• BROADBAND DEPLOYMENT, US: About 9% of U.S. households now have broadband Internet access. (Cahners In-Stat Group, 2001)
• BROADBAND DEPLOYMENT, US: High-speed residential services increased 230% in US during 2000, with 36 million BB subscribers expected by 2005 (overtaking dial-up access). (Strategis, Jan. 2001).
• BROADBAND DEPLOYMENT, WORLDWIDE: Number of online homes connecting via broadband: France (6.8%), Germany (3.2%), USA (6.0%), Korea (38.0%), Hong Kong (7.6%), Singapore (4.0%) and Taiwan (1.9%), UK (1.1%), and China (0.1%) (NetValue, Oct. 2000).
• BROADBAND DEPLOYMENT: High-speed Internet access, including ISDN, LAN, cable modems and DSL connections, jumped 148% among home Internet users from December 1999-2000. (Nielsen//NetRatings, Jan. 2001).
• BROADBAND DEPLOYMENT: Worldwide Internet access market will reach 179.5 million homes over next 8 years, with broadband multimedia connections in 126 million households.  Of latter total, 43% would have cable modems, 31% DSL and 26% either satellite or terrestrial wireless. (C.A. Ingley & Co)
• BROADBAND DSL: Digital Subscriber Line (DSL) will grow from 4.5 million this year to 64.7 million by 2004, with new subscriptions increasing by 71% next year to 7.7 million. (Cahners In-Stat Group, Oct. 2000).
• BROADBAND HOUSEHOLDS 2005: 45.8 million households will use broadband connections to access the Internet by 2005, up from 2.8 million today. (Forrester Research, 2001)
• BROADBAND HOUSEHOLDS, US: Number of US households with high-speed Internet access will reach 6 million by the end of 2000, increasing to 28 million in 2004, (Dataquest, 2000).

• BANDWIDTH COSTS FALLING: Prices are continuing to fall at 50-60% a year.  A transatlantic circuit that could be leased for 15 years in 1997 at a cost of $16M will next year be priced at only $850,000 for the same period. A 10-year lease on a circuit on the Hermes Ring, the first pan-European network, cost $18M in 1998, while this year it costs less than $6M. (Telegeography 2001).
• BANDWIDTH EXPLOSION, SUBMARINE CABLE: Submarine cables installed in 2000 increased aggregated trans-Atlantic bandwidth by a factor of 12 in just 1 year. (Telegeography 2001).

• BROADBAND, DIALUP DOWNLOAD DELAYS: U.S. businesses burn through $11 billion annually as employees access the Web though slow dialup modems. (Beacon Hill Institute of Suffolk University, 2000).
• BROADBAND INCREASES INTERNET USAGE: Ernst & Young and Cap Gemini Ernst & Young report that households in the US connecting to the internet via   broadband use 22% more online information than their dial-up counterparts.
• BROADBAND USAGE: Broadband users spent more time online per week than dial-up users -- 14 hours compared to 10 hours, respectively. (ExciteAtHome, Jan. 2001).
• BROADBAND INCREASES USAGE: Surfers who switch to broadband Web connections spend 21.5 hours online each month. That's five-and-a-half hours more than they spent online when they had dial-up connections, according to new study by McKinsey & Co. and Jupiter Media Metrix.
• BROADBAND: Households currently connected with broadband access "consume" over 20 percent more entertainment time than households without high-speed access. And research in the study predicts that by 2004, nearly 80 percent of large companies - compared to 65 percent today - will have fiber connections to their buildings. 54 percent of mid-sized businesses with 100 to 499 employees are expected to have fiber-optic access by 2004, up 35 percent from current levels. (Cap Gemini Ernst & Young, Mar. 2001).

• BROADBAND MARKET, APARTMENTS: Sales of equipment & services for providing broadband to multiple tenant unit buildings will reach $4.8 billion by 2004, up from $370 million in 2000. (Cahners In-Stat Group , Jan. 2001).
• BROADBAND MARKET, HOME NETWORKING 2005: Analysts are predicting that the home networking industry will increase from $600M in 2000 to $5.7B in 2004 (Cahners In-Stat Group)
• BROADBAND MARKET, WIRELESS: Worldwide service revenues for broadband wireless will be worth $42B in five years, with more than a quarter of businesses connected via broadband wireless by 2005 and with actual deployments to both households and businesses reaching more than 27 million. (ARC Group) http://www.nua.ie/surveys/index.cgi?f=VS&art_id=905356262&rel=true

• BROADBAND UK, MORE EXPENSIVE: High-speed residential Internet access is 25% more expensive in the UK than in the US, and more expensive than in France or Germany --$59/month in UK, compared with $54 in France, $47 in the U.S. and $45 in Germany. (Office of Telecommunications, Jan. 2001).
• BROADBAND USAGE BY FAMILY INCOME: Total household income of broadband Internet users in 2000 was $77,000, while average household income of dial-up users was $67,000. (ExciteAtHome, 2000).
• BROADBAND USAGE: Americans who have high-speed Internet access divide their time almost equally among TV, radio and Internet.  In non-broadband households, people devote 33% of their media time to watching TV each day, 28% to listening to radio, 11% to online.  In broadband household, time spent watching TV plunges to 24% and radio time to 21%, and Internet usage nearly doubles to 21%.  (Arbitron/Coleman, 2001).

• BROADBAND, ASIA-PACIFIC: Asian-Pacific broadband market is set to grow by nearly 600% to USD15.9 billion by 2006. (Ovum, March 2001).
• BROADBAND, FIXED WIRELESS: Fixed wireless high-speed Internet access offers broadband without the last-mile bottlenecks. That's part of the reason Frost & Sullivan projects the fixed wireless industry to surpass $28.5 billion in revenue by 2007. http://cyberatlas.com/markets/broadband/article/0,,10099_728591,00.html
• BROADBAND, FIXED-WIRELESS: Multipoint, multichannel distribution service (MMDS), will grow to a market share of 17% by the year 2004. (Parks Associates, 2000).
• BROADBAND, SATELLITE: Current estimates envision 480,000 broadband data consumers per satellite, with current optimum speeds of 500 kbps on downward path and 150 kbps on upload (Tom Tycz, chief of FCC Satellite & Radio Communications Div. At Carmel Group DBS 2001 conference, Jan. 2001).
• BROADBAND, SATELLITES: Satellite broadband customers will rise from 1.7 million in 2002 to 4 million in 2004 and 10.5 million 2009 (Pioneer Consulting, 2000).
• BROADBAND, SATELLITES: Satellites will earn 30% of the market share by 2007 (Pioneer Consulting, 2000).
• BROADBAND, TRANSCONTINENTAL FIBER: OC-192 links can handle the equivalent of 178,000 dial-up modems simultaneously operating at full capacity, or 32,000 feeds of full-stream video at 300 kbps.
• BROADBAND: 63% of broadband users said their primary reason for getting a broadband connection is speed, while only 23% cited not having their telephone line tied up while online, and 9% said an uninterrupted connection was the primary reason for getting broadband.  (Arbitron/Coleman, Feb. 2001).
• BROADBAND: Only 40% of consumers have heard term "broadband" and even 45% of that group can't define word, CTAM said in its latest study.  In its continuing poll of consumer attitudes on cable and telecom issues, CTAM found that consumers were most aware of high-speed Internet access features and benefits, including choice of ISPs;  constant online connection;  much faster Web access;  ability to be online and on phone at same time with one phone line.  Study said younger and high-income consumers were more aware than others.  CTAM said:  (1) At least 40% of surveyed consumers found high-speed Internet access very desirable.  (2) 25% were interested in remote Internet access while traveling.  (3) 45% were interested in streaming some type of programming to their PCs.  (4) 25% were interested in watching full-length movies, film clips and news clips on PCs.  (5) 63% of African- Americans and 54% of Hispanics were interested in at least one type of streamed programming. (Cable & Telecommunications Association for Marketing)
• WIRELESS INTERNET, JAPAN: Japan's wireless Internet market will surge by about 1,400% by 2005 to JPY594 billion ($5.11 billion). http://www.nua.ie/surveys/index.cgi?f=VS&art_id=905356404&rel=true
• WIRELESS, MOBILE DATA, US: The Strategis Group predicts that mobile data penetration in the US will reach 60% in 2007, from its current level of just two%. http://www.nua.ie/surveys/index.cgi?f=VS&art_id=905356397&rel=true
  

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PLEASE BE ADVISED:

Research organizations differ on many measurements and predictions. Cisco Systems cannot verify the accuracy of all of the findings. We include all credible information to offer a glimpse into the range of estimates and predictions.

Abbreviations / acronyms used herein are defined and explained more fully in the issue briefs available at Cisco’s public policy page. Most common acronyms include DSL (digital subscriber line service, which is high speed Internet access over telephone lines); WAN (wide area network connections link different organizations such as schools across a region); LAN (local area network connections link computers within an organization)