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Corporate News & Information
1998 Annual Report
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Net Sales graph.

Net income graph.

Net income as % of Sales graph.

International Sales as % of Sales graph.

Management's Discussion and Analysis


Forward-Looking Statements

Certain statements contained in this Annual Report including, without limitation, statements containing the words "believes," "anticipates," "estimates," "expects," and words of similar import, constitute "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Readers are referred to the "Financial Risk Management" and "Potential Volatility in Operating Results" sections contained herein, as well as the "Future Growth Subject to Risks" and "Other Risk Factors" sections, among others, included in the Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended July 25, 1998, which identify important risk factors that could cause actual results to differ from those contained in the forward-looking statements.

Comparison of 1998 and 1997

Net sales grew to $8.5 billion in 1998 from $6.4 billion in 1997. The 31.3% increase in net sales during the year was primarily a result of increasing unit sales of high-end switches such as the Catalyst (TM) 5500, access servers such as the Cisco 3600 family, Internet and intranet access products for small offices such as the Cisco 1600 series router, and increased service contract sales. The sales growth rate for lower-priced access and switching products targeted toward small and medium-sized businesses has increased faster than that of the Company's high-end core router products. However, these products typically carry lower average selling prices, and thus have slowed the Company's growth rate compared with last year. Additionally, some of the Company's more established product lines, such as the Cisco 2500 product family and the Catalyst 1400, experienced decelerating growth rates. Sales to international customers decreased to 40.9% of net sales in 1998 from 43.5% in 1997. The decrease reflects slower sales growth in certain Asian countries, particularly Japan and Korea. The Company anticipates that sales in Asia will remain weak for the near future, with the exception of the Greater China markets. Sales growth in these markets has been impacted by certain factors including weaker economic conditions, delayed government spending, a stronger dollar versus the local currencies, and slower adoption of networking technologies.


Gross Margin as % of Sales graph.
Gross margins increased slightly to 65.5% during 1998 from 65.2% in 1997. This increase is due principally to the Company's improvements in value-engineering efforts and material cost reductions, partially offset by a continued shift in product mix to the Company's lower-margin products. The prices of component parts have fluctuated in the recent past, and the Company expects that this trend may continue. An increase in the price of component parts may have a material adverse impact on gross margins. The Company continues to expect that gross margins will decrease in the future, because it believes that the market for lower-margin remote access and switching products for small to medium-sized businesses will continue to increase at a faster rate than the market for the Company's higher-margin router and high-performance switching products. Additionally, as the Company focuses on new market opportunities, it faces increasing competitive pressure from large telecommunications equipment suppliers and well-funded startup companies, which may materially adversely affect gross margins. The Company is attempting to mitigate this trend through various means, such as increasing the functionality of its products, continued value engineering, controlling royalty costs, and improving manufacturing efficiencies. There can be no assurance that any efforts made by the Company in these and other areas will successfully offset decreasing margins.

Research and Development graph.

Research and Development as % of Sales graph.

Research and development expenses increased by $322 million in 1998 compared with 1997 expenditures, an increase to 12.1% of net sales from 10.8% in 1997. The increase reflects the Company's ongoing research and development efforts in a wide variety of areas such as voice, video, and data integration, Digital Subscriber Line (DSL) technologies, dial access, enterprise switch routers, security, network management, and high-end routing technologies, among others. A significant portion of the increase was due to the addition of new personnel, partly through acquisitions, as well as higher expenditures on prototypes and depreciation on additional lab equipment. For the near future, research and development expenses are expected to increase at a greater rate than the sales growth rate as the Company invests in technology to address potential market opportunities. The Company also continues to purchase technology in order to bring a broad range of products to the market in a timely fashion. If the Company believes that it is unable to enter a particular market in a timely manner, it may license technology from other businesses or acquire other businesses as an alternative to internal research and development. All of the Company's research and development costs are expensed as incurred.

Sales per Employee graph.
Sales and marketing expenses increased by $404 million in fiscal 1998 over fiscal 1997, an increase to 18.5% of net sales in 1998 from 18.0% in fiscal 1997. The increase is due principally to an increase in the size of the Company's direct sales force and related commissions, additional marketing and advertising costs associated with the introduction of new products, and the expansion of distribution channels. The increase also reflects the Company's efforts to invest in certain key areas such as expansion of its end-to-end strategy and service provider coverage in order to position itself to take advantage of future market opportunities.

General and administrative expenses rose by $54 million in fiscal 1998 over fiscal 1997, a decrease to 3.1% from 3.2% of net sales. The dollar increase reflects increased personnel costs necessary to support the Company's business infrastructure, including those associated with its European Logistics Center, the further development of its information systems, as well as increased levels of amortization for acquisition-related intangible assets. It is management's intent to keep general and administrative costs relatively constant as a percentage of net sales; however, this goal depends upon the level of acquisition activity and amortization of the resulting intangible assets, among other factors.

The amount expensed to purchased research and development in fiscal 1998 arose from the purchase acquisitions of Dagaz Technologies, LightSpeed International, Inc., WheelGroup Corporation, NetSpeed Inc., and CLASS Data Systems (see Note 3).

Interest and other income, net, was $193 million in 1998 and $109 million in 1997. Interest income rose as a result of additional investment income on the Company's increasing investment balances. In fiscal 1997, the Company began selling its holdings in a publicly traded company at amounts significantly above the cost basis of the investment. Also in 1997, the Company established the Cisco Systems Foundation ("the Foundation"). As part of this initiative, the Company donated a portion of this investment, along with other equity securities, to the Foundation, with a combined cost basis of approximately $2 million and an approximate market value of $72 million at July 26, 1997. The realized gains on the sale of this investment, net of the amounts donated to the Foundation, were $153 million in fiscal 1997 (see Note 5).

Comparison of 1997 and 1996

Net sales grew to $6.4 billion in 1997 from $4.1 billion in 1996. The 57.2% increase in net sales during the year was primarily the result of increasing unit sales of LAN switching products such as the Catalyst 5000, high-end routers such as the Cisco 7500 product family, modular access routers such as the Cisco 4700, and growth in the sales of add-on boards that provide increased functionality. These increases were partially offset by decreasing unit sales of the Company's older product lines, consisting of the Cisco 7000 and Cisco 4000. The sales growth rate for lower-priced access and switching products targeted toward small and medium-sized businesses increased faster than that of the Company's high-end core router products. These products typically carry lower average selling prices, thereby contributing to the slowdown in the Company's overall growth rate in 1997 versus 1996. Additionally, some of the Company's more established product lines, such as the Cisco 2500 series, experienced decelerating growth rates. Sales to international customers decreased to 43.5% of net sales in 1997 from 48.2% for 1996. The decrease was attributed to slower sales growth in certain international markets, particularly Japan, France, and Germany. Sales growth in these markets was impacted by certain factors including weaker economic conditions, delayed government spending, a stronger dollar versus the local currencies, and slower adoption of networking technologies.

Gross margins decreased slightly to 65.2% during 1997 from 65.6% in 1996. This decrease was due to several factors, including the continued shift in revenue mix to the Company's lower-margin products consisting primarily of access and workgroup products for small to medium-sized businesses. These products traditionally have fewer features and less software functionality than the Company's service provider and enterprise offerings.

Research and development expenses increased by $299 million in 1997 compared with 1996 expenditures, an increase to 10.8% of net sales from 9.7% in 1996. The increase reflected the Company's ongoing research and development efforts in a wide variety of areas such as voice, video, and data integration, Digital Subscriber Line (DSL) technologies, dial access, enterprise switching, security, network management, and high-end routing technologies, among others. A significant portion of the increase was due to the addition of new personnel, as well as higher expenditures on prototypes and depreciation on new equipment.

Sales and marketing expenses increased by $434 million in fiscal 1997 over fiscal 1996, an increase to 18.0% of net sales in 1997 from 17.7% in fiscal 1996. The increase in these expenses resulted from an increase in the size of the Company's direct sales force and related commissions, additional marketing programs to support the launch of new products, the entry into new markets, and expanding distribution channels.

General and administrative expenses rose by $45 million in fiscal 1997 over fiscal 1996, a decrease to 3.2% from 3.9% of net sales. The dollar increase reflected increased personnel costs necessary to support the Company's business infrastructure, including those associated with its new European Logistics Center, as well as the further development of its information systems. The percentage decrease reflects management's continued efforts to control discretionary spending.

The amount expensed to purchased research and development in fiscal 1997 arose from the purchase acquisitions of Telebit Corporation, Netsys Technologies, Skystone Systems Corporation, Ardent Communications, and Global Internet Software Group (see Note 3).

Interest and other income, net, was $109 million in 1997 and $64 million in 1996. Interest income rose as a result of additional investment income on the Company's increasing investment balances.

Recent Accounting Pronouncements

In June 1997, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) issued SFAS No. 130, "Reporting Comprehensive Income," which establishes standards for reporting and display of comprehensive income and its components (revenue, expenses, gains, and losses) in a full set of general-purpose financial statements. The Company will adopt SFAS No. 130 as required for its first quarterly filing of fiscal year 1999.

In June 1997, the FASB issued SFAS No. 131, "Disclosure about Segments of an Enterprise and Related Information," which changes the way public companies report information about operating segments. SFAS No. 131, which is based on the management approach to segment reporting, establishes requirements to report selected segment information quarterly and to report entity-wide disclosures about products and services, major customers, and the material countries in which the entity holds assets and reports revenue. Management is in the process of evaluating the effects of this change on its reporting of segment information. The Company will adopt SFAS No. 131 as required for its annual report on fiscal year 1999.

In June 1998, the FASB issued SFAS No. 133, "Accounting for Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities," which establishes accounting and reporting standards for derivative instruments and hedging activities. It requires that an entity recognize all derivatives as either assets or liabilities in the statement of financial position and measure those instruments at fair value. Management has not yet evaluated the effects of this change on its operations. The Company will adopt SFAS No. 133 as required for its first quarterly filing of fiscal year 2000.

Financial Risk Management

The following discussion about the Company's risk management activities includes "forward-looking statements" that involve risks and uncertainties. Actual results could differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements.

As a global concern, the Company faces exposure to adverse movements in foreign currency exchange rates. These exposures may change over time as business practices evolve and could have a material adverse impact on the Company's financial results. Historically, the Company's primary exposures have related to nondollar-denominated sales in Japan, Canada, and Australia and nondollar-denominated operating expenses in Europe, Latin America, and Asia where the Company sells primarily in U.S. dollars. The introduction of the Euro as a common currency for members of the European Monetary Union is scheduled to take place in the Company's fiscal year 1999. The Company has not determined what impact, if any, the Euro will have on foreign exchange exposure. The Company is prepared to hedge against fluctuations in the Euro if this exposure becomes material. At the present time, the Company hedges only those currency exposures associated with certain assets and liabilities denominated in nonfunctional currencies and does not generally hedge anticipated foreign currency cash flows. The hedging activity undertaken by the Company is intended to offset the impact of currency fluctuations on certain nonfunctional currency assets and liabilities. The success of this activity depends upon estimation of intercompany balances denominated in various currencies, primarily the Japanese yen, Canadian dollar, Australian dollar, and certain European currencies. To the extent that these forecasts are over- or understated during periods of currency volatility, the Company could experience unanticipated currency gains or losses.

The Company is experiencing a greater proportion of its sales activity through its partners in two-tier distribution channels. These customers are generally given privileges to return inventory, receive credits for changes in the Company's selling prices, and participate in cooperative marketing programs. The Company maintains appropriate reserves and allowances for such exposures. However, such partners tend to have access to more limited financial resources than other resellers and end-user customers and therefore represent potential sources of increased credit risk. Additionally, the Company is experiencing increased demands for customer financing and leasing solutions. The Company also continues to monitor increased credit exposures because of the weakened financial conditions in Asia and the impact that such conditions may have on the worldwide economy. Although the Company has not experienced significant losses because of customers failing to meet their obligations to date, such losses, if incurred, could have a material adverse impact on the Company's business, operating results, and financial position.

The Company maintains investment portfolio holdings of various issuers, types, and maturities. These securities are generally classified as available for sale, and consequently, are recorded on the balance sheet at fair value with unrealized gains or losses reported as a separate component of shareholders' equity, net of tax. Part of this portfolio includes minority equity investments in several publicly traded companies, the values of which are subject to market price volatility. The Company also has certain real estate lease commitments with payments tied to short-term interest rates. At any time, a sharp rise in interest rates could have a material adverse impact on the fair value of the Company's investment portfolio while increasing the costs associated with its lease commitments. Conversely, declines in interest rates could have a material impact on interest earnings for the Company's investment portfolio. The Company does not currently hedge these interest rate exposures.

The following table presents the hypothetical changes in fair values in the financial instruments held by the Company at July 25, 1998 that are sensitive to changes in interest rates. These instruments are not leveraged and are held for purposes other than trading. The modeling technique used measures the change in fair values arising from selected potential changes in interest rates. Market changes reflect immediate hypothetical parallel shifts in the yield curve of plus or minus 50 basis points (BPS), 100 BPS, and 150 BPS over a twelve-month time horizon. Beginning fair values represent the market principal plus accrued interest, dividends, and certain interest rate-sensitive securities considered cash and equivalents for financial reporting purposes at July 25, 1998. Ending fair values comprise the market principal plus accrued interest, dividends, and reinvestment income at a twelve-month time horizon. This table estimates the fair value of the portfolio at a twelve-month time horizon (in millions):

 
 
A 50-BPS move in the Federal Funds Rate has occurred in 9 of the last 10 years; a 100-BPS move in the Federal Funds Rate has occurred in 6 of the last 10 years; and a 150-BPS move in the Federal Funds Rate has occurred in 4 of the last 10 years.

The following analysis presents the hypothetical change in fair values of public equity investments held by the Company that are sensitive to changes in the stock market. These equity securities are held for purposes other than trading. The modeling technique used measures the hypothetical change in fair values arising from selected hypothetical changes in each stock's price. Stock price fluctuations of plus or minus 15%, plus or minus 35%, and plus or minus 50% were selected based on the probability of their occurrence.

This table estimates the fair value of the publicly traded corporate equities at a twelve-month time horizon (in millions):

 
 
Within the Company's public equity investment portfolio, a 15% movement in the stock price has occurred in 82% of the annual periods since the shares were initially offered or in the last three years; a 35% movement in the stock price has occurred in 36% of the annual periods since the shares were initially offered or in the last three years; and a 50% movement in the stock price has occurred in 36% of the annual periods since the shares were initially offered or in the last three years.

The Company also is exposed to interest rate risk associated with leases on its facilities whose payments are tied to the London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR), and has evaluated the hypothetical change in lease obligations held at July 25, 1998 due to changes in the LIBOR rate. The modeling technique used for analysis measured hypothetical changes in lease obligations arising from selected hypothetical changes in the LIBOR rate. Market changes reflected immediate hypothetical parallel shifts in the LIBOR curve of plus or minus 50 BPS, 100 BPS, and 150 BPS over a twelve-month period. The results of this analysis were not material to the Company's financial results.

The Company enters into forward foreign exchange contracts to offset the impact of currency fluctuations on certain nonfunctional currency assets and liabilities, primarily denominated in Japanese, Canadian, Australian, and certain European currencies.

The Company generally enters into forward currency contracts that have original maturities of one to three months, with none having a maturity greater than one year in length. The total notional values of forward contracts purchased and forward contracts sold were $166 million and $153 million, respectively. The net unrealized gain on forward exchange contracts was $0.1 million. Management does not expect gains or losses on these contracts to have a material impact on the Company's financial results (see Note 7).

Potential Volatility in Operating Results

The Company expects that in the future, its net sales may grow at a slower rate than was experienced in previous periods, and that on a quarter-to-quarter basis, the Company's growth in net sales may be significantly lower than its historical quarterly growth rate. As a consequence, operating results for any particular quarter are extremely difficult to predict. The Company's ability to meet financial expectations could be hampered if the nonlinear sales pattern seen in recent quarters continues in future periods. The Company generally has had one quarter of the fiscal year when backlog has been reduced. Although such reductions have not occurred consistently in recent years, they are difficult to predict and may occur in the future. In addition, in response to customer demand, the Company continues to attempt to reduce its product manufacturing lead times, which may result in corresponding reductions in order backlog. A decline in backlog levels could result in more variability and less predictability in the Company's quarter-to-quarter net sales and operating results going forward. On the other hand, for certain products, lead times are longer than the Company's goal. If the Company cannot reduce manufacturing lead times for such products, the Company's customers may cancel orders or not place further orders if shorter lead times are available from other manufacturers, thus creating additional variability.

As a result of recent unfavorable economic conditions, sales to certain countries in Asia and the Pacific Rim have declined as a percentage of the Company's total revenue. If the economic conditions in these markets worsen, or if these unfavorable conditions result in a wider regional or global economic slowdown, this decline may have a material adverse impact on the Company's business, operations, and financial condition.

Many computer systems were not designed to handle any dates beyond the year 1999, and therefore, computer hardware and software will need to be modified prior to the year 2000 in order to remain functional. The Company is concerned that many enterprises will be devoting a substantial portion of their information systems spending to resolving this upcoming Year 2000 problem. This expense may result in spending being diverted from networking solutions in the near future. The Company is still assessing the impact of the Year 2000 issue on its products and internal information systems and has begun, and in many cases completed, corrective efforts in these areas. The Company does not anticipate that addressing the Year 2000 problem for its internal information systems and current and future products will have a material impact on its operations or financial results. However, there can be no assurance that these costs will not be greater than anticipated, or that corrective actions undertaken will be completed before any Year 2000 problems could occur. The Year 2000 issue could lower demand for the Company's products while increasing the Company's costs. These combining factors, while not quantified, could have a material adverse impact on the Company's financial results.

The Company has certain key relationships with suppliers. If these suppliers fail to adequately address the Year 2000 issue for the products they provide to the Company, this could have a material adverse impact on the Company's operations and financial results. The Company is still assessing the effect the Year 2000 issue will have on its suppliers and at this time, cannot determine the impact it will have.

Contingency plans will be developed if it appears the Company or its key suppliers will not be Year 2000 compliant, and such noncompliance is expected to have a material adverse impact on the Company's operations.

The Company also expects that gross margins may be adversely affected by increases in material or labor costs, heightened price competition, and changes in channels of distribution or in the mix of products sold. For example, the Company believes that gross margins may decline over time, because the markets for lower-margin access products targeted toward small to medium-sized customers have continued to grow at a faster rate than the markets for the Company's higher-margin router and high-performance switching products targeted toward enterprise and service provider customers. The Company recently introduced new products, and several additional new products are scheduled to be released in the near future. If warranty costs associated with these new products are greater than the Company has experienced historically, gross margins may be adversely affected. The Company's gross margins may also be impacted by geographic mix, as well as the mix of configurations within each product group. The Company continues to expand into third-party or indirect distribution channels, which generally results in lower gross margins. In addition, increasing third-party and indirect distribution channels generally results in greater difficulty in forecasting the mix of the Company's products, and to a certain degree, the timing of its orders.

The Company also expects that its operating margins may decrease as it continues to hire additional personnel and increases other operating expenses to support its business. The Company plans its operating expense levels based primarily on forecasted revenue levels. Because these expenses are relatively fixed in the short term, a shortfall in revenue could lead to operating results being below expectations. The results of operations for 1998 are not necessarily indicative of results to be expected in future periods, and the Company's operating results may be subject to quarterly fluctuations as a result of several factors. These factors include the integration of people, operations, and products from acquired businesses and technologies; increased competition in the networking industry; the overall trend toward industry consolidation; the introduction and market acceptance of new technologies and standards, including switch routers, Gigabit Ethernet switching, Tag Switching (currently also known as multiprotocol label switching [MPLS]), and voice, video, and data capabilities; variations in sales channels, product costs, or mix of products sold; the timing of orders and manufacturing lead times; and changes in general economic conditions, any of which could have a material adverse impact on operations and financial results.



1998 Assets by Component graph

Liquidity and Capital Resources

Cash and equivalents, short-term investments, and investments were $5.2 billion at July 25, 1998, an increase of $2.6 billion from 1997. The increase is primarily a result of cash generated by operations, and to a lesser extent, through financing activities, mainly the exercise of employee stock options, which generated $488 million in cash. These cash flows were partially offset by cash outflows from operating activities, including tax payments of approximately $438 million; cash flows from investing activities including capital expenditures of approximately $415 million; and cash payments of $108 million and $38 million related to the acquisitions of Dagaz Technologies and CLASS Data Systems, respectively.

Accounts receivable increased 10.9% during 1998, while sales grew by 31.3%. Days sales outstanding in receivables decreased to 49 days as of July 25, 1998 from 60 days at July 26, 1997. Inventories increased 42.1% during 1998. The increase in inventories was primarily because of the shift toward a two-tier distribution model and the need to maintain shorter lead times on certain products. Inventory management remains an area of focus as the Company balances the need to maintain strategic inventory levels to ensure competitive lead times with the risk of inventory obsolescence due to rapidly changing technology and customer requirements.

1998 Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity by Component graph
Accounts payable increased by 20.1% during 1998 because of material purchases to support the growth in net sales. Other accrued liabilities increased by 82.3%, primarily because of higher deferred revenue on service contracts.

At July 25, 1998, the Company had a line of credit totaling $500 million, which expires in July 2002. There have been no borrowings under this agreement (see Note 6).

The Company has entered into certain lease arrangements in San Jose, California, and Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, where it has established its headquarters operations and certain research and development and customer support activities, respectively. In connection with these transactions, the Company restricted $554 million of its investments as collateral for certain obligations of the leases. The Company anticipates that it will occupy more leased property in the future that will require similar restricted securities; however, the Company does not expect the impact of this activity to be material to liquidity.

The Company's management believes that its current cash and equivalents, short-term investments, line of credit, and cash generated from operations will satisfy its expected working capital and capital expenditure requirements through fiscal 1999.

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